How much does it cost to replace a furnace?
Furnace replacement runs $2,500 for a basic 80% AFUE single-stage gas unit, $4,500 for a typical 95% AFUE two-stage install, and $7,500+ for a modulating high-efficiency furnace with new venting and gas line work.
2026 cost breakdown
Pricing is for the unit installed at the national base. Adjust for your state using the multiplier table below.
| Tier | What you get | 2026 cost |
|---|---|---|
| Basic | Builder-grade materials, simple scope, accessible install conditions, off-peak scheduling. | $2,500 |
| Typical | Mid-tier materials, standard scope, code-compliant install, licensed contractor with warranty. | $4,500 |
| Premium | Premium materials, larger scope, difficult access, code upgrades, expedited timeline, or high-cost metro. | $7,500+ |
Is this actually worth it?
A furnace replacement in 2026 typically returns 60–80% of project cost at resale within the first 5 years, and avoids 2–4× higher emergency-replacement pricing. Owners with a documented furnace timeline negotiate ~$3,800 better at sale on average.
Run the ROI mathShould you replace now or wait?
Break-even rule: if annual repair cost exceeds 8% of replacement cost — or the unit is past 75% of expected life — replacement wins. Below that threshold, deferring 18–36 months and funding a sinking fund usually beats panic timing by $1,800–$5,400.
Run the break-even mathHow this impacts your home value
A failing or end-of-life furnace typically triggers a $4,000–$12,000 appraiser adjustment in your market and shows up in inspection reports as a buyer-negotiation lever. A documented replacement plan inside the last 3 years of life preserves listing price.
Build the resale-ready planAdjust for your state
Multiply the typical price by your state cost factor. Source: American Home Maintenance Index 2026.
Get a personalized estimate
Enter your home size and ZIP for a tailored 2026 estimate using our HVAC Replacement Cost Calculator.